Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.81K
- Potential profit
- $10.81K
- User PnL
- -$9.94K
Polymarket Trader
FDVnothanks
0x27f443f8228966c1171e6ec3ff971bbece53770b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.69K
- Realized PnL
- $4.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $9.79K
- Potential profit
- $8.71K
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- -$303.58
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $466.7
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$42.27
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $276.65
- Potential payout
- $878.24
- Potential profit
- $601.59
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$461.08
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $364.35
- Potential payout
- $767.06
- Potential profit
- $402.71
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$135.65
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $106.82
- Potential payout
- $763
- Potential profit
- $656.18
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$396.76
No position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $483.15
- Potential payout
- $623.42
- Potential profit
- $140.27
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$16.85
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $266.7
- Potential payout
- $370.41
- Potential profit
- $103.71
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$51.86
No position
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $27.41
- Potential payout
- $365.44
- Potential profit
- $338.03
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$82.22
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $95.91
- Potential payout
- $309.4
- Potential profit
- $213.49
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$77.35
No position
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $100.31
- Potential payout
- $124.61
- Potential profit
- $24.3
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$18.07
No position
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.53
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.34
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.46
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.88
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.48
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.16
Yes position
Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.61
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.17
Yes position
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.08
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.06
No position
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.42
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.4
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.44
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.52
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 10,808.13 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 71% 300 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 80% 2,200 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 72.4% 4.85 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91% 5,037.14 shares
- Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No 99.5% 100 shares
- Will James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes 60% 500 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 95.2% 1.47 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 95.2% 530.46 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes 98.8% 506.26 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No 99.5% 1,005.61 shares