Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $172.57
- Potential profit
- $170.15
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$22.3
Polymarket Trader
movingman
0x2801a46265185155967f61360419584e52c33676
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.47
- Realized PnL
- $90.12
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $96.45
- Potential profit
- $78.13
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $14.41
- Potential payout
- $50.59
- Potential profit
- $36.18
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $37.44
- Potential profit
- $35.38
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $29.8
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $15.7
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$10.34
Yes position
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.58
- Potential profit
- $18.58
- User PnL
- -$10
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $10.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $7.83
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Gerard Campana Lee position
ITF Doboj: Gerard Campana Lee vs Eric Vanshelboim
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 9?Yes 2% 14.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 9?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 9?Yes 16% 9.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 9?Yes 10% 9.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 9?Yes 17% 11.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 9?Yes 12% 8.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 9?Yes 12% 11.18 shares
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes 52.5% 38 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 47% 22 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 46% 22 shares
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs 45% 11.11 shares
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons 29% 17.24 shares