Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $28.36
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$27.87
Polymarket Trader
x5w6n
0x2801d61ecdcc23054a4c0d95822ed81f838c9dfe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $261.01
- Realized PnL
- $85.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $760.76
- Potential profit
- $760.76
- User PnL
- -$14.81
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $396.18
- Potential profit
- $395.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.69
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.26
- Potential profit
- $381.26
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.33
- Potential profit
- $378.33
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $19.27
- Potential payout
- $340.98
- Potential profit
- $321.71
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $263.57
- Potential profit
- $263.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.77
- Potential profit
- $250.77
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $109.95
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $104.29
- Potential payout
- $105.45
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $22.69
- Potential payout
- $76.91
- Potential profit
- $54.22
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$28.98
Yes position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $55.34
- Potential profit
- $53.94
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $29.54
- Potential payout
- $48.03
- Potential profit
- $18.49
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $27.93
- Potential profit
- $22.48
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $17.36
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $20.53
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.46
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.16
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 99.7% 6.05 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 91.4% 11.13 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes 11.5% 21.02 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 75% 20.31 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No 86.1% 25.35 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 5.2% 12 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 6% 281.06 shares
- Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No 0.9% 36.3 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 38% 105.44 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes 17.4% 7 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 3.2% 59.06 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 37% 9.24 shares