No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $7.48K
- Potential payout
- $7.83K
- Potential profit
- $352.34
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Polymarket Trader
Codm96
0x280257a0fb2d50840f1d3b42244bb2ab7aad6f1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.05K
- Realized PnL
- $8.88K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.56K
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $479.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $562.15
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $301.64
- Potential payout
- $4.61K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $91.2
No position
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- User PnL
- -$136.99
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$286.99
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $60.52
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$14.48
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $707.68
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $80.82
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$31.78
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.45
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$115
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $20.26
- Potential payout
- $710.9
- Potential profit
- $690.64
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $521.77
- Potential profit
- $521.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.14
- Potential profit
- $513.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.39
- Potential profit
- $211.39
- User PnL
- -$101
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.5
- Potential profit
- $111.5
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $5.78
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $3.8
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 4.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03K
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $325.4
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.47
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $117.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.42
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $84.22
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $49.4
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Ceasefire position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.5% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.3% 3.8 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.3% 5.78 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 79.4% 5,040.21 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.4% 1,041.67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 86.7% 1.15 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.8% 4,157.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 88.4% 4,867.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 63.8% 2,764.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.9% 728.22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.2% 921.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 52.9% 222.58 shares