Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $889.27
- Potential profit
- $889.27
- User PnL
- -$71.79
Polymarket Trader
xdevf
0x280c47e5a2768fbe04994cb37f729bd953bd169c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.84
- Realized PnL
- $80.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.33
- Potential profit
- $53.33
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $22.66
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$17.16
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $15.21
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $7.36
- Potential payout
- $9.24
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.06
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?Yes 89.9% 20 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 82.8% 9.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 90% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 93% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29?No 0.1% 69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?Yes 3.1% 14.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?Yes 5% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29?No 1% 68.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?Yes 13% 62 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29?Down 15% 63.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?Yes 9.6% 40 shares