No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$478.51
Polymarket Trader
degentrade
0x281222df30fd576036700e555bb097e0b83a8ca9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $397.75
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $19.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.2
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.78
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.94
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.64
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.36
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.53
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.98
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.82
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.36
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $44.18
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$543.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 84% 458.87 shares
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 74.4% 458.88 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 5% 6,790 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No 91% 4,488.16 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 63.9% 6,260 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No 59.7% 5,015.31 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 11% 590 shares
- Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes 86% 2,926.99 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 33.9% 590 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 83% 3,059 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 84.6% 394.91 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No 25% 1,336.38 shares