Polymarket Trader

0x2815F5D2Ca818C3Fab9a77434bC183d73ba67f0c-1769815511115

0x2815f5d2ca818c3fab9a77434bc183d73ba67f0c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $429.44
Realized PnL: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $12.11
Potential payout: $897.06
Potential profit: $884.95
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$22.89

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $662.33
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $88.47
Potential payout: $474.38
Potential profit: $385.91
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $445.68
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $12.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $387.8
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $40.12
Potential payout: $369.81
Potential profit: $329.69
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $50.73
Potential payout: $366.29
Potential profit: $315.56
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $30.15
Potential payout: $365.41
Potential profit: $335.27
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $15.74
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $278.38
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.74

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.55
Potential profit: $151.55
User PnL: -$81.95

No position

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $117.34
Potential payout: $147.6
Potential profit: $30.26
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.44
Potential profit: $112.44
User PnL: -$80

Over position

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.69
Potential profit: $107.69
User PnL: -$50

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.32
Potential profit: $102.32
User PnL: -$70

Under position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.2
Potential profit: $83.2
User PnL: -$50

Ecuador position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.52
Potential profit: $77.52
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $22.54
Potential payout: $73.9
Potential profit: $51.36
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$7.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.61
Potential profit: $66.61
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $18.09
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $47.7
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$6.91

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.7
Potential profit: $65.7
User PnL: -$35

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.54
Potential profit: $65.54
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.74

No position

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.61

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.52

No position

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.4

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.56

Yes position

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $55.37

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.29

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.21

No position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.95

Over position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

No position

Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.53

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.95

Yes position

Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Under position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Kansas City Royals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.04

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Under position

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.69

Under position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

St. Louis Cardinals position

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Baltimore Orioles position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Tampa Bay Rays position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

No 87% 57.47 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 71% 21.13 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 18.07 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

No 89% 56.18 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 50% 40 shares
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

Over 58% 25.86 shares
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 50% 20 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 63% 39.68 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Over 60% 8.33 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Over 64% 7.81 shares