No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $56.97
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.2
Polymarket Trader
scallop
0x2817ddd960737305a2a980a5907c676ce9ba5a26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.97
- Realized PnL
- $20.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 8-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Biden drops out by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Biden drop out on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Argent airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump tweet 9 times this week?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Trump posts 50-99 times on X?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June?No 99.9% 43 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.6% 57 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.5% 46.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No 99.9% 62.6 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 97.5% 37.8 shares
- Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes 98.4% 33.3 shares
- Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Yes 99.3% 67.45 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?No 99.7% 57 shares
- Over $200M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No 99.7% 20 shares
- Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?No 99.6% 30.43 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?No 99.9% 60.31 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?No 99.9% 220.25 shares