No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1
Polymarket Trader
coolcool123765
0x281b4ef0d92c7ef4377f96c3cbd8522cbbbe1441
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.64
- Realized PnL
- $15.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $6.19
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $5.74
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $1.65
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Michigan Wolverines position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 21% 10.57 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 81% 3.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.7% 3.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No 47% 5.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes 38% 7.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.7% 2.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.7% 1.59 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 93% 3.1 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 93% 3.1 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 97.5% 3.28 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 1.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 89% 3.62 shares