Polymarket Trader

0x281f06909968eF3e918845386249d0200Bc14Eb7-1759187316714

0x281f06909968ef3e918845386249d0200bc14eb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.37
Realized PnL: -$222
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $39.55
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $660.45
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $27.65

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$18.1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7.1

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.2
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift say "Wedding" during Tonight Show on October 6?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will 'Eldest Daughter' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.14

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 'Actually Romantic' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.26

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 'Ruin The Friendship' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.49

Yes position

Scotland to score first vs. Morocco?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.5

No position

Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.01

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.29

Yes position

Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.94

Yes position

Will 'Opalite' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 100 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 47% 9.99 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 130 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 300 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 400 shares
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 38% 10 shares
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 45% 20 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 100 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 17% 70 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 10 shares