Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.04
Polymarket Trader
raferun
0x2822629854dd486d2e9d0ba18ed890f152a03559
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $515.1
- Realized PnL
- -$23.37
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $93.6
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $66.4
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $52
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $108
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$74.4
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $57.75
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.29
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $25.88
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$46.38
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 63.7% 177.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.9% 60 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 14 shares