Polymarket Trader

exV

0x2826c2bd0857b2fa039472c1cbac602f40490c6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.16K
Realized PnL: -$83.57
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $378.69
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $61.34

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $438.24
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $502.66
Potential payout: $531.91
Potential profit: $29.26
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $228.3
Potential payout: $377.36
Potential profit: $149.06
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $28.3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $305.28
Potential payout: $318.5
Potential profit: $13.22
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.03

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.21

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.23

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.16

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.45

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.63

No position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93

No position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 90% 1,013.9 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 94.2% 318.5 shares
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 89.9% 3,338.88 shares
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

No 94.8% 210.93 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

No 91.9% 217.63 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 96.4% 518.45 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 68.7% 291.09 shares
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Yes 77.3% 388.21 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 78% 641.03 shares
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 94% 531.91 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 34% 588.24 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 53% 377.36 shares