Polymarket Trader

tema6

0x2827100ecc59bd3d6558d196262922a8a167cdd9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.67
Realized PnL: $275.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.71K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $55.7
Potential payout: $877.19
Potential profit: $821.49
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.41
Potential profit: $272.41
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $152.95
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.62
Potential profit: $119.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $16.93
Potential payout: $72.04
Potential profit: $55.11
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$33.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.44
Potential profit: $45.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $25.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.27
Potential profit: $22.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.56
Potential profit: $20.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.11
Potential profit: $19.11
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $40.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 56% 161.29 shares
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Yes 2.3% 434.78 shares
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 69.4% 72.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?

Yes 59.4% 16.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?

Yes 44.9% 22.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?

Yes 47.6% 21 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 2% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 9?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9?

Yes 0.1% 3,707.13 shares