Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Polymarket Trader
ChaseWillden
0x284416db977ed497ae6a2b39a0194752aced3f65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.25
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Dayton position
Dayton vs. Rhode Island
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0
East Tennessee State position
Mercer vs. East Tennessee State
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.4% 45 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96% 12 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 42 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 113 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 125 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89% 11 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 37 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 6 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 23 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 87% 34 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.9% 40 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.8% 6 shares