Polymarket Trader

muspark2

0x285b89fbc34cbcb819801320ccc25c8ab83bf07c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.74
Realized PnL: $24.77
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.83
Potential profit: $145.83
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $25.82
Potential payout: $27.47
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $12.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$2.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.8%
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 90% 16.67 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91% 27.47 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 95% 26.32 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

No 87% 22.99 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 90.09 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.1% 59.17 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 90.09 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 59.17 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?

No 96% 20.83 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 79% 17.04 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

No 78% 28.55 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 88% 17.05 shares