No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $23.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Polymarket Trader
mumughj
0x2861ebb676bbd4204182564218ac9b3299cee928
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.4
- Realized PnL
- $94.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$15.33
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $20.1
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.56
- Potential profit
- $20.56
- User PnL
- -$4.15
No position
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.99
- Potential profit
- $17.99
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$6.56
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $12.58
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$2.57
No position
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$9.12
France position
France vs. England: Team to Win
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.94
- Potential profit
- $11.94
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $11.32
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.45
- Potential payout
- $8.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$5.28
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 59.2% 8.45 shares
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain 59% 4.74 shares
- France vs. England: Team to WinFrance 67% 11.94 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes 51% 6 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 42% 20 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 94.1% 15.78 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No 87% 13 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?No 84% 15 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?No 87% 25 shares
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain 59% 4.75 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes 50% 6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No 88.8% 11 shares