No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $367.96
- Potential payout
- $384.69
- Potential profit
- $16.73
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $40.96
Polymarket Trader
cc311
0x28658dc275a146c107ae6e0b2f9b8990fc452005
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $343.99
- Potential payout
- $367.9
- Potential profit
- $23.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $289.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.65
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $65.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $34.79
- Potential payout
- $41.66
- Potential profit
- $6.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.97
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.25
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.77
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.4
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.95
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.24
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.58
No position
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.39
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.49
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $60.64
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.53
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.78
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.76
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.4
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.98
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.84
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.2
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.86
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.63
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
No position
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 330 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 47% 271 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 35% 10.71 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 28% 10.71 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 5% 349.9 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 2% 200 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 32% 200 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 66.54 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No 73% 120.25 shares
- More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?No 85% 35.4 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 64.9% 100 shares
- US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?No 86% 130 shares