Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $13.53K
- Potential payout
- $142.41K
- Potential profit
- $128.88K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.56K
Polymarket Trader
0x2881B6F7AB10Da79F89870320811De5244912091-1771867892446
0x2881b6f7ab10da79f89870320811de5244912091
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.54K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.93K
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $23.48K
- Potential profit
- $20.19K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.96K
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $492.12
- Potential payout
- $7.57K
- Potential profit
- $7.08K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$780.02
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $229.85
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.43K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.38K
Manchester City FC position
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$193
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $458.52
- Potential profit
- $458.52
- User PnL
- -$21.66
Manchester City FC position
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.59
- Potential profit
- $305.59
- User PnL
- -$146.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.39
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207
Yes position
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$397.57
Real Madrid CF position
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$700
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$717.25
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.13K
Yes position
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.59K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 36,363.64 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 34,538.1 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 39,943.21 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 14,005.12 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 12.4% 55,341.46 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 30,653.42 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 46% 26,041.05 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 62.07 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 9,655.17 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 16,323.81 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 150 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 477.78 shares