No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $785.64
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$163.91
Polymarket Trader
lottonakamoto
@LottoNakamoto
0x2884f98185d2005691d245f3e2e70b15d1e1d0c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.52K
- Realized PnL
- $9.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $103.71
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.61
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.9%
- Current value
- $333.15
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $744.99
- Multiplier
- 3.24x
- User PnL
- -$31.7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $689.69
- Potential payout
- $774.93
- Potential profit
- $85.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $47.03
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $98.12
- Potential payout
- $654.16
- Potential profit
- $556.04
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $403.87
- Potential profit
- $399.23
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $337.12
- Potential payout
- $374.37
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $348.32
- Potential profit
- $38.32
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $244.07
- Potential payout
- $307
- Potential profit
- $62.94
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $15.05
- Potential payout
- $304
- Potential profit
- $288.95
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $208.22
- Potential profit
- $200
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$27.17
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $100.29
- Potential payout
- $156.71
- Potential profit
- $56.41
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $60.45
- Potential payout
- $135.85
- Potential profit
- $75.4
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$12.28
Yes position
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $14.81
- Potential payout
- $134.65
- Potential profit
- $119.84
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $104.56
- Potential payout
- $134.05
- Potential profit
- $29.49
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $37.85
- Potential payout
- $126.16
- Potential profit
- $88.31
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
No position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $94.61
- Potential payout
- $110.66
- Potential profit
- $16.05
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $13.91
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $76.1
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $71.96
- Potential payout
- $87.75
- Potential profit
- $15.8
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $73.04
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $78.1
- Potential profit
- $66.39
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $3.64
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $71.36
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $67.87
- Potential payout
- $71.14
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $58.05
- Potential payout
- $65.44
- Potential profit
- $7.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Barcelona position
Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.76
No position
Will Barcelona win the treble?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $693.77
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.97
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.96
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.29
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.66
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.04
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.43
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.52
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.37
Yes position
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.6
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.65
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.31
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.08
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.24
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.24
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.59
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.47
Yes position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 82% 10 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 30.1% 50.5 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 30.4% 10 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 30.3% 75 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 1.8% 403.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 1.8% 1,103.47 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 2% 600 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 1.5% 950 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 34% 9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 88% 10 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 90% 33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 85% 6.33 shares