Polymarket Trader

tosskek

0x288999fc80af0b29cd5b22fc1c2b8987db3b9226

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: -$29.81
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $995.43
Potential payout: $11.71K
Potential profit: $10.72K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$58.54

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $9.71K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$281.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.89
Potential profit: $264.89
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.79
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$19.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.39
Potential profit: $31.39
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.24
Potential profit: $20.24
User PnL: -$5.06

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: -$6

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $7.27
User PnL: -$4

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$5

VP.Prodigy position

Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Oman" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.54

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

X Money released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

OG position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.78

No position

ChatGPT Outage by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$77.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 2,222.22 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6% 2,575.59 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 7,777.78 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 1,428.57 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 3,571.43 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 111 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 219.07 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 1,000 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 222.22 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 1,538.46 shares