No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.47
Polymarket Trader
lightrunner7815
0x288c2ba2405c9ea8c18dcc40f2348a9c01b2995d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.73
- Realized PnL
- $1.95
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 3.53 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 3 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 61% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 5 shares