No position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
45awncarter99
0x288da6dd4038f564992a8e64198fc9ad00927aae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $190.27
- Realized PnL
- $2.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $49.58
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $45.19
- Potential payout
- $47.05
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will AJ Brown be traded?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No 96% 100 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?No 98.7% 20 shares