Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $215.65
- Potential payout
- $829.43
- Potential profit
- $613.78
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $17.65
Polymarket Trader
TheShipThatNeverSinks
0x28a310eabdb8df5032cbbf9d0d4993a08803869e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $614.59
- Realized PnL
- $4.89K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $128.15
- Potential payout
- $413.4
- Potential profit
- $285.24
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$71.85
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $196.87
- Potential payout
- $393.74
- Potential profit
- $196.87
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $73.92
- Potential payout
- $97.26
- Potential profit
- $23.34
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $865.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.85
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.71
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.5
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.42
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.31
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.99
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.3
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.66
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.87
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.51
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.67
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $19.96
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes 54% 185.02 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes 48.4% 413.4 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes 47.9% 208.72 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 73% 97.26 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 31.2% 314.17 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 43% 314.18 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 24.7% 296 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 198.34 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 47.4% 198.34 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 88.2% 113.43 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 57.1% 317.74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 62.9% 317.74 shares