Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $11.53K
- Potential payout
- $11.67K
- Potential profit
- $140.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $232.79
Polymarket Trader
libratus1
0x28b291aa82da13e1d58993873806c92908d5eb4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.72K
- Realized PnL
- $29.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $65.62
- Potential payout
- $6.91K
- Potential profit
- $6.84K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$79
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $6.6K
- Potential payout
- $6.65K
- Potential profit
- $46.55
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $201.64
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $128.68
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $3.42K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $82.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $177.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $69.5
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $21.49
- User PnL
- $51.12
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $44.25
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$458.24
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $18.56
- User PnL
- $216.96
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $100.67
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $424.92
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $46.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $74.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $192.09
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $313.32
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $15.73
- User PnL
- $18.92
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $94.07
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $153.93
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $47.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $53.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $108.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $54.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $358.14
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $56.82
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$283.54
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $820.23
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $303.37
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $152.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $282.23
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $782.78
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$162.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $928
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $91.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $135.29
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $896.08
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $23.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $12.98
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $889.2
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $47.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $727.38
- Potential payout
- $836.07
- Potential profit
- $108.69
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $115.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $911.69
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $906.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $897.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.64
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $833.75
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $818.36
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.82
Yes position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.97
Yes position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.03
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 77.6% 384.62 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.1% 20 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 92% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 14% 276.55 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 54% 1,028.25 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 82% 701 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 14% 116 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 44% 799.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 13% 300 shares
- Will Trump say "Brazil" during G7 events?Yes 99% 210 shares