Polymarket Trader

PredragDanicic

0x28b3cacb362807b34136c0c476404c35a3e2e4ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.06
Realized PnL: $168.24
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $171
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $62.92
Potential payout: $107.55
Potential profit: $44.63
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $21.32

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $53.38
Potential profit: $51.43
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$7.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.28
Potential profit: $31.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $13.8
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $79.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $7.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 18.4% 53.38 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.2% 127.52 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 14% 200 shares
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

Yes 64% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Up 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Up 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Up 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Down 7% 28.57 shares
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Yes 77.6% 16.94 shares
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 127.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Up 13% 9.09 shares