No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.9
- Potential profit
- $312.9
- User PnL
- -$7.01
Polymarket Trader
leamaniac
0x28b91257f3ef6800ee913df93040483de26c70cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.96
- Realized PnL
- $217.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $48.2
- Potential profit
- $46.34
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $22.72
- Potential payout
- $29.71
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $16.39
- Potential payout
- $24.28
- Potential profit
- $7.89
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.4
- Potential payout
- $22.54
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $13.59
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $19.98
- Potential payout
- $21.37
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.25
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- User PnL
- -$6.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $10.17
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $8.92
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $10.61
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $7.26
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $4.63
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
USA position
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Canada position
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Breaking News" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No 23% 21.74 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No 67.3% 29.71 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 67% 4.48 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 9.9% 30 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 6.58 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.7% 10.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 50% 10 shares