Polymarket Trader

tangora

0x28b978fc65ad03b5d71e4cc4cd558d54bcd4a995

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $660
Realized PnL: $16.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$939.8

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.18K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$222.74

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$88

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$210.01

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $265
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $735
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $395
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $605
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.81

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.8

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.29

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.52

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.61

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 1% 857.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Up 9% 431.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 3% 860.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 12.7% 1,010.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 7.2% 642.19 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 8,545.41 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 6,063.98 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 6,272.78 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 6,669 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 14,033.96 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50,000 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50,000 shares