Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $316.39
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.71K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.9K
Polymarket Trader
DuneMentat
0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.59K
- Realized PnL
- $102.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $6.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $4.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $464.48
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
No position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.37K
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $3.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $366.66
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$71.46
No position
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $3.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $69.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $40.46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $271.98
Yes position
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.49K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.34K
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $15.11
- User PnL
- $424.29
No position
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $920.06
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $24.52
- User PnL
- $87.76
No position
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $502.92
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$124.53
No position
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $553.75
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$200.35
Yes position
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.93
No position
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $73.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $237.93
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $231.38
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $15.79
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$947.65
No position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $61.52
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$446.11
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $824.21
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $415.2
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $4.81
N
No position
Will South Korea reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $58.68
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$206.03
No position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $936.09
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $226.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$45.43
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- User PnL
- $171.28
No position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $987.74
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$607.58
No position
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $724.28
- Potential payout
- $999
- Potential profit
- $274.73
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $661.87
- Potential payout
- $995.29
- Potential profit
- $333.42
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $66.38
No position
Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $922.67
- Potential payout
- $980
- Potential profit
- $57.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $803.77
- Potential payout
- $951.2
- Potential profit
- $147.44
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $149.16
Yes position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.13
- Potential payout
- $945.89
- Potential profit
- $930.75
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$61.2
No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $874.15
- Potential payout
- $942.99
- Potential profit
- $68.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.11
No position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $775.86
- Potential payout
- $928.06
- Potential profit
- $152.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$102.78
N
No position
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $207
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $713
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$38.2
No position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $878.21
- Potential payout
- $878.65
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $200.08
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $83.88
- Potential payout
- $838.81
- Potential profit
- $754.93
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$661.91
No position
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $761.09
- Potential payout
- $814
- Potential profit
- $52.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $191.7
Y
Yes position
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $659.62
- Potential payout
- $767
- Potential profit
- $107.38
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $23.01
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $562.5
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $104.94
No position
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $716.64
- Potential payout
- $717
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $16.68
Y
Yes position
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $605.02
- Potential payout
- $716
- Potential profit
- $110.98
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Yes position
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $654.32
- Potential payout
- $706.22
- Potential profit
- $51.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.31
No position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $638.99
- Potential payout
- $704.12
- Potential profit
- $65.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $33.61
No position
Will Paige Loud be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $698.95
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?
Ends Sep 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $554.24
- Potential payout
- $697.15
- Potential profit
- $142.92
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $62.69
Yes position
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $145.54
- Potential payout
- $676.95
- Potential profit
- $531.41
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$26.64
No position
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $441.14
- Potential payout
- $673.49
- Potential profit
- $232.35
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $35.65
- Potential payout
- $666.3
- Potential profit
- $630.65
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$11.62
No position
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$194.5
Y
Yes position
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $623.73
- Potential payout
- $632.26
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $102.07
Yes position
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $551.49
- Potential payout
- $616.19
- Potential profit
- $64.7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $379.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5K
No position
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Knights position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
No position
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14K
No position
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Pistons position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.41
Yes position
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2025 WNBA MVP?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.18
Yes position
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $962.31
No position
Will Utah Valley win the 2026 WAC conference championship?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $939.12
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.22
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $885.61
No position
Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.65
No position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.16
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Somalia" or "Somalian" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.55
No position
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.05
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.69
Yes position
Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.58
No position
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.42
No position
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.62
No position
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 8.2% 50.07 shares
- Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 8.1% 50 shares
- Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 8.1% 70 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 89% 40 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 89% 25 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 89% 25 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 89% 25 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 89% 25 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes 55% 21 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes 55% 21 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes 55% 20 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes 55% 14 shares