Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Shaesirocks
0x28d03c84a79888017347f4d0a32ce61841614955
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.45
- Realized PnL
- $67.66
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.6
- Potential profit
- $659.6
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $425.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.43
- Potential profit
- $428.43
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.78
- Potential profit
- $409.78
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $352.68
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will XRP reach $2.00 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $329.5
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.4
- Potential profit
- $266.4
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.37
- Potential profit
- $223.37
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.68
- Potential profit
- $198.68
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.49
- Potential profit
- $198.49
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.5
- Potential profit
- $170.5
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $157.42
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.24
- Potential profit
- $157.24
- User PnL
- -$22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.03
- Potential profit
- $157.03
- User PnL
- -$28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown 7% 28.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown 2% 150 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 7?Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on July 7?Yes 2.9% 104.48 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on July 7?Yes 1.9% 15.19 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 4.2% 119.05 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 428.57 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 11% 90.91 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?No 5.4% 92.57 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No 8% 125 shares