Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Polymarket Trader
FML1985
0x2903f1dd8f26130e131f8440319830cc97971cc4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.87
- Realized PnL
- -$28.56
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $105.21
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
No position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.01
- Potential profit
- $102.01
- User PnL
- -$8.67
Yes position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $61.54
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $57.46
- Potential profit
- $49.7
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Yes position
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.98
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "ISIS" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Affordability" during Mamdani events on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "Farmer" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Trump say "Olympics" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial intelligence" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 29% 10.34 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?No 73% 3.4 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?No 88% 3.41 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Trump say "Farmer" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?Yes 99% 1.14 shares
- Will Trump say "Olympics" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?Yes 1% 3.12 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No 87% 4.16 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial intelligence" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?No 0.1% 7.69 shares
- Will Trump say "Eight Wars" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?No 30% 3.33 shares
- Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes 1.1% 95.23 shares
- Will Trump say "Farmer" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial intelligence" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?No 26% 3.85 shares