No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $17.36
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $71.65
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $8.46
Polymarket Trader
flyingstump
0x29164d3b0f00ea9e215343a6c45601ee7d03b79d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.36
- Realized PnL
- $17.86
- Win rate
- 63.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Georgia position
Georgia vs. South Carolina
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 42°F or below on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 81 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No 20% 36 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5% 150 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.4% 150 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 93.8% 49 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 97.4% 43 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No 22% 33 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 36% 49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 9 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11% 24 shares