Yes position
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $95.98
- Potential profit
- $85.71
- Multiplier
- 9.35x
- User PnL
- $9.27
Polymarket Trader
0x2921ba63aB2cDF4622623AB609Ab415Df2ac1706-1773629891921
0x2921ba63ab2cdf4622623ab609ab415df2ac1706
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.68
- Realized PnL
- $630.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $23.43
- Potential profit
- $9.73
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.76
- Potential profit
- $12.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $12.11
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Tampa Bay Rays position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Suns position
Suns vs. Thunder
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.6
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.87
Yes position
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.38
Over position
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.23
Vitality.Bee position
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.45
James Duckworth position
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Ducks position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.89
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Gael Monfils position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes 32.7% 12.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?Yes 49% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?Yes 49% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?Yes 53% 5.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?Yes 53% 8.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?Yes 53% 10.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?Yes 53% 6.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?Yes 52.4% 11.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?Yes 33% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?Yes 33% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22?Yes 27% 9 shares