Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.74K
- Potential profit
- $19.74K
- User PnL
- -$85.98
Polymarket Trader
0x2929d535499E14fff25639d29c2a98b8D4aAa3a5-1762551885556
0x2929d535499e14fff25639d29c2a98b8d4aaa3a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $262.91
- Realized PnL
- $26.12
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.12
- Potential profit
- $540.12
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $210.41
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $59.86
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $200.41
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Microsoft reach $705 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.21
- Potential profit
- $200.21
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.34
- Potential profit
- $186.34
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.43
- Potential profit
- $118.43
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.12
- Potential profit
- $111.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.22
- Potential profit
- $100.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.93
- Potential profit
- $88.93
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.47
- Potential profit
- $88.47
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.66
- Potential profit
- $87.66
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.69
- Potential profit
- $77.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.06
- Potential profit
- $72.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Real Oviedo vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
90k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Magic position
Magic vs. Knicks
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes 11.6% 8.62 shares
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21?Yes 56% 1.76 shares
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?Yes 41% 2.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Iowa speech?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?Yes 27% 3.7 shares