Polymarket Trader

Matink

0x2944392cfdc74612850ace178b1a2d2c21d0c5f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.8K
Realized PnL: -$2.51K
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $13.21K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$4.35K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.13

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.8

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$58.87

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.75

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$336.95

Yes position

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$854.37

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.98K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 9% 11,364.31 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 39.5% 12,644.7 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 64% 3,368.34 shares
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 31.4% 376.43 shares
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 59.1% 338.36 shares
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 39.4% 38.07 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

No 91% 2,197.8 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 44% 11,364.31 shares
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 0.2% 21,431.57 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 62.7% 3,255.19 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 55.5% 2,082.63 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 1,217.38 shares