Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $79.12
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $29.12
Polymarket Trader
rlaghksquf
0x2946afc37ce5a8b1051b051f2fdb23f2be7d8eb4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.11
- Realized PnL
- $4.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $742.5
- Potential profit
- $742.5
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $234.4
- Potential profit
- $232.4
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.51
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.67
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.27
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.86
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.09
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 3% 234.4 shares
- Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 42.1 shares
- Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 42.11 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 2.4% 2,109.77 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 6% 133.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown 99% 7.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown 38% 7.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp 60% 3.33 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes 1% 266.03 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes 2.6% 266.03 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 8.2% 609.17 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes 8% 62.5 shares