Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $55.82
- Potential payout
- $166.63
- Potential profit
- $110.81
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $5.83
Polymarket Trader
0x2947...4cf4
0x29474e5232bc95fa5cdf88f0a94018c58c9c4cf4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $679.67
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $99.33
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $52.94
- Potential payout
- $132.35
- Potential profit
- $79.41
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $53.57
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $38.57
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $83
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $53.5
- Potential payout
- $87.71
- Potential profit
- $34.21
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $80.69
- Potential payout
- $81.96
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $30.69
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $57.66
- Potential payout
- $66.66
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Current value
- $25.85
- Potential payout
- $66.11
- Potential profit
- $40.26
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $19.9
No position
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $37.66
- Potential payout
- $64.93
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$12.34
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $20.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $24.49
- Potential payout
- $42.23
- Potential profit
- $17.73
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $29.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $24.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $16.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Kharg Island" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.43
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.3
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113
No position
Will Trump say "Kharg Island" during events with Japanese PM?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.97
No position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.92
No position
Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.07
N
No position
Will Trump say "America" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.95
No position
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.77
No position
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.57
No position
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.56
No position
Will Trump say "Black Vote" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.41
No position
Will Trump say "Save Act" or "Save America Act" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.14
N
No position
Will Trump say "Scam" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during the announcement on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.37
No position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.66
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.58
No position
Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.14
No position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
No position
Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during Healthcare Affordability Events?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.57
No position
Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.82
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.32
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 51% 30 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 62% 40 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 76% 40 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 57% 30 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?No 58% 40 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 21.8% 110 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 44.9% 110 shares
- Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 60% 4.47 shares
- Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 59% 40 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 26% 8 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 90% 25 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 31% 13 shares