No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100.6
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
umon1
0x294d2bbe9108997e1bdff70e96a37da6be8456b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $153.82
- Realized PnL
- $8.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.23
- Potential payout
- $15.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $9.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 1-20 tries?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Travis Kelce score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Musetti position
French Open: Musetti vs. Navone
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Tran position
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
2024 September hottest on record?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 US Chess Championship?
Ends Oct 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No 98.8% 5.06 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No 96% 8.33 shares
- Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No 98.1% 8.15 shares
- Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No 98.5% 7.11 shares
- Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No 98.5% 8.12 shares
- 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No 99.4% 9.05 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No 99.5% 8.04 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 27,000 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 27,000 shares
- Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 100.6 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel before August?No 96% 5.21 shares