Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $378.79
- Potential profit
- $357.01
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Polymarket Trader
engineboy
0x2957add1e5fe5b81dc371be43059f73d4778d469
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.14
- Realized PnL
- $3.56
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $144.07
- Potential payout
- $303.31
- Potential profit
- $159.24
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $36.74
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 38% 143.5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 378.79 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 26.9% 74.44 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 37.4% 80.18 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No 90% 8.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No 78% 12.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No 83% 4.58 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?No 95% 3.48 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?No 86% 3.49 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.2% 15.81 shares