No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- User PnL
- -$831.47
Polymarket Trader
fovea
0x29581c004c39a0895654e34915c6ecf6b48d311f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.15
- Realized PnL
- $501.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.76
- Potential profit
- $749.76
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $59.15
- Potential payout
- $699.96
- Potential profit
- $640.82
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$38.85
No position
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$116
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.38
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.47
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.12
No position
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.88
No position
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.49
No position
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.46
No position
Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
No position
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will Moonshot have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 1.5% 697.33 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 1.5% 1,400.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 84% 952.38 shares
- Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 88.8% 71.66 shares
- Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes 21.1% 59.71 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 26% 117.74 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes 0.2% 895.27 shares
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 16% 2.71 shares
- Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No 0.1% 2,000 shares