Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $214.2
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$46.92
Polymarket Trader
0x2967...f4c9
0x296782ea6065aff94a3cbe7b9ce7f65d0cf3f4c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.16K
- Realized PnL
- $517.34
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $187.29
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $827.81
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $98.97
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.04
- Potential payout
- $815.99
- Potential profit
- $762.95
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$28.56
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $254.56
- Potential payout
- $592
- Potential profit
- $337.44
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$37.88
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $135.14
- Potential payout
- $529.98
- Potential profit
- $394.84
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$21.2
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $176.23
- Potential payout
- $482.81
- Potential profit
- $306.58
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$13.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $369.24
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $38.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.36
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $75.48
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $332.52
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $34.68
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $373.32
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $30.6
- Potential payout
- $407.99
- Potential profit
- $377.39
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.52
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $119.26
- Potential payout
- $391.01
- Potential profit
- $271.75
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $197.43
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $67.57
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $22.53
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $104.86
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $79.14
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $21.14
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $179.5
- Potential profit
- $162.45
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $70.88
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $31.12
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $71.9
- Potential payout
- $101.99
- Potential profit
- $30.09
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $4.59
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $57.48
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$11.88
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $40.39
- Potential payout
- $43.2
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Michael Mmoh position
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmoh
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.15
No position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.76
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.36
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.31
No position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.72
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.95
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.38
Cavs position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Habs position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Zhejiang Golden Bulls position
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Cam Rowston position
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Cavs position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $2.01
Knights position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 8.2% 472.05 shares
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 12.5% 371.55 shares
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?Yes 68% 211.07 shares
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 13.8% 472.02 shares
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 17.1% 371.57 shares
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres 26% 159.52 shares
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 2.2% 1,434.59 shares
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 4.9% 1,519.1 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes 47% 148.39 shares
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 7.6% 993.81 shares
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres 41% 159.56 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes 59% 148.4 shares