Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $3.87
Polymarket Trader
0x2968...efd8
0x29685082852e9885f61d030b19b83402f8afefd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.03
- Realized PnL
- $5.73
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $18.98
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $7.02
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $11.78
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$12.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 70% 26 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.2% 6 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 92.1% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 15.9% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 87% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 13% 16 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 91.5% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 80% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 9.5% 11 shares