GeorgiiRach

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $14.36
User PnL: $15.46

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $567.22
Potential payout: $619.92
Potential profit: $52.69
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6.66
Potential payout: $380.62
Potential profit: $373.95
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.89

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $281.32
Potential payout: $281.6
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $113.4
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $166.6
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $104.34
Potential payout: $158.22
Potential profit: $53.87
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$3.19

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $148.8
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $67.61
Potential payout: $80.01
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $22.14
Potential payout: $65.01
Potential profit: $42.87
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $36.22
Potential payout: $36.87
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $28.19
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.02
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $16.72
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 69.2%
Current value: $6.92
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$2.79

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Megaquake by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $5.94
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.66

No position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.56

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.17

No position

Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.07

No position

Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.15

Yes position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.37

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.88

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.08

No position

Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.87

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.91

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.75

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.38

No position

Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.57

No position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.55

No position

Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.31

No position

Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.71

No position

Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.92

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?