Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $86.21
- Potential payout
- $957.9
- Potential profit
- $871.69
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$9.58
Polymarket Trader
0x298bbD2883474d0910d78576eD14938e3e21dC9B-1769247623263
0x298bbd2883474d0910d78576ed14938e3e21dc9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.8
- Realized PnL
- -$412.26
- Win rate
- 23.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $86.36
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $822.73
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.64
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $47.22
- Potential payout
- $142.45
- Potential profit
- $95.23
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.12
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$79.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$215.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.1% 142.45 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes 8% 625 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 20.9% 143.7 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 2.7% 369.04 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 32.4% 92.62 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 2.6% 763.3 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 41.9% 190.14 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 64% 82.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 24% 52.79 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes 9% 333.33 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes 7% 428.57 shares