Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.13
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Polymarket Trader
chillimilli
0x298bbe822b39aec6081cbcaa4c5bc3e6146e13d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.91
- Realized PnL
- $381.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.83
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 102°F or higher on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.91
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 30?Yes 8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?Yes 55% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?Yes 46.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?Yes 77.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on June 29?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 29?Yes 0.3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 29?Yes 0.2% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 29?Yes 1.2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 29?Yes 8.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 29?Yes 2.1% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 30?Yes 14% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?Yes 83.1% 5 shares