Polymarket Trader

ToysShit

0x29b7d4e8979ec5d813278574da8fdb118786d5a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.59K
Realized PnL: $3.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $6.26K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$744.71

No position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $333.11
Potential payout: $374.28
Potential profit: $41.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $33.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.37

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.03

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.8

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.04

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.24

Yes position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.27

No position

Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

No position

Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 65% 922.23 shares
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 234.47 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 63.9% 6,260.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 49.7% 1,215.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 52.5% 686.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 91.9% 432.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 73.8% 1,315.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 76% 13.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 58.3% 586.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 55.8% 1,122.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Up 76.8% 255.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Up 78.8% 1,041.06 shares