Polymarket Trader

longinus

0x29be04a4f72bd46cb5cee77ae491e14625657675

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $835.66
Realized PnL: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $7.27K
Potential profit: $7.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.36

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $130.25
Potential payout: $763.91
Potential profit: $633.66
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $34.05

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $592.86
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $121.43
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$7.14

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.12
Potential profit: $193.12
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$10

No position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.39
Potential profit: $116.39
User PnL: -$73

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $81.4
Potential payout: $106.41
Potential profit: $25.01
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $79.88
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.48
Potential profit: $79.48
User PnL: -$59.55

Australia position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.56
Potential profit: $23.56
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $10.32
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.63

No position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.15

No position

Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.62

Yes position

Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.26

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.78

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.32

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.5

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.8

Yes position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.81

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.94

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.17

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

No position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.25

No position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.01

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.36

Yes position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.24

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.11

Yes position

Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.46

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

No position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.95

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.19

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 84% 476.19 shares
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 84% 238.1 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

No 77% 100 shares
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

No 85% 11.76 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 81% 1.23 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 69.7% 143.47 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 70.9% 42.31 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 81.5% 36.81 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 83.8% 59.67 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 88.9% 101.24 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 44% 11.36 shares