Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $56.88
Polymarket Trader
porkbun
0x29c3f73dd1e62914809ad93b5c55af7a27ddcd63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.08K
- Realized PnL
- $1.74K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $18.81
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $336.19
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$267.69
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.39
- Potential profit
- $236.39
- User PnL
- -$78.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $7.44
- Potential payout
- $150.22
- Potential profit
- $142.78
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$31.62
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.83
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Capitals position
Canadiens vs. Capitals
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.07
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.13
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.5
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.07
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.46
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.76
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.16
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
No position
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Boston Red Sox position
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$174
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 780.34 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 13.32 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 2,254.1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 5.12 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99% 1,476.49 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 36.6% 5 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 26% 150.22 shares
- Anthropic acquired before 2027?No 94% 5 shares
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?No 98% 50 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Yes 97.7% 100 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 96% 526.04 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 95.9% 25 shares