Polymarket Trader

SrMedrans

0x29cdaaaf89b936d98c9b5ee936ad6edb09d492a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.44
Realized PnL: -$9.76
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.94
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $5.86
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Under position

Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?

Yes 0.4% 12.6 shares
Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?

Yes 15% 12.6 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 26.8% 7.46 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 4.5% 44.44 shares
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

No 96.8% 5.55 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

Yes 6% 1.96 shares
Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?

Yes 45.1% 6.65 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Yes 99.9% 3.2 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 75% 2.94 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Yes 44% 3.2 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Yes 52% 5.77 shares