Polymarket Trader

spectral-mango-protocol

0x29d7667d5559f9d1c32fcefd649fb4c3bc814c91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.86K
Realized PnL: $6.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $9.05K
Potential payout: $9.6K
Potential profit: $551.84
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $313.22

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $5.53
User PnL: $187.94

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $204.63
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $32.31

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$28.78

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $109
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $151

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$859.99

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.48
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $58.5

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $889.6
Potential payout: $890.94
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: $147.28

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $193.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $107.49
Potential payout: $107.98
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $18.24

No position

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.94
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $5.54

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.78
Potential payout: $37.33
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8.03

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.03
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.24

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.7%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: -$5.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $957.22

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.16

No position

Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.88

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.99

No position

U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.37

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.39

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.14

No position

Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.13

No position

Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.72

No position

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.02

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

No position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.01

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.04

No position

Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.78

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.46

No position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

No position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 91% 9,597.15 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?

Yes 99.6% 3,475.28 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?

Yes 99.2% 618.8 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

No 8.5% 12 shares
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

No 99.2% 101.77 shares
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

No 99.3% 60.86 shares
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

No 99.9% 190,334.19 shares
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

No 99.8% 7,669.44 shares
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

No 99.7% 7,557.6 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 190,143.66 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

Yes 99.9% 8,494.71 shares
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

No 99.6% 21,307.23 shares