Yes position
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $57.56
- Potential payout
- $83.67
- Potential profit
- $26.11
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $44.9
Polymarket Trader
splogdes
0x29dfc554c39e7a64dbf9eaf9e21903124c089340
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $120.02
- Realized PnL
- $52.95
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $65.9
- Potential profit
- $56.02
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $3.29
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.9%
- Current value
- $11.19
- Potential payout
- $25.52
- Potential profit
- $14.33
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $20.43
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $7.63
No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $11.36
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $9.79
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.21x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?Yes 51.8% 25.52 shares
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 2.8% 28.08 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 10% 65.9 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 62% 20.42 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 34% 3.82 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 38% 25 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 27% 46.75 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 57.2% 7.15 shares
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 15% 50 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 10% 72.7 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 90% 20.96 shares